Florida Hispanic Voters Show Growing Dissatisfaction With Trump, Poll Finds
New poll shows declining Trump support among Florida Hispanic voters, but Republicans still lead in major 2026 races for governor and Senate.
TALLAHASSEE, FLORIDA — A new poll reveals that one in five Florida Hispanic voters who supported President Donald Trump in the 2024 election say they would not vote for him again, though this dissatisfaction has yet to translate into significant gains for Democratic candidates in this fall’s statewide races.
The survey of 500 Florida Hispanic voters, conducted by UnidosUS in partnership with Democratic-leaning BSP Research and Republican polling firm Shaw & Co. Research, shows 51% disapprove of Trump’s performance in office while 41% approve. The poll was released Tuesday by the national Latino advocacy organization.
The findings indicate growing concerns among Hispanic voters about presidential power, with 72% expressing worry that Congress is failing to exercise proper checks and balances and instead giving excessive authority to the executive branch. This sentiment extends to 64% of Cuban Americans in Florida, traditionally a Republican-leaning demographic.
Voter Loyalty Shifts
The poll found stark differences in voter loyalty between parties. While 20% of Hispanics who voted for Trump in 2024 say they would not repeat their vote, only 5% of Hispanic Florida voters who supported Kamala Harris in that election would change their choice if given the opportunity. Trump won Florida with 56% of the vote compared to Harris’s 43% in November 2024.
Despite this erosion in Trump support, Republican candidates maintain leads in both major statewide contests on the 2026 ballot, according to the survey results.
Gubernatorial and Senate Races
In the governor’s race, Republican U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds holds a seven-point advantage over Democrat David Jolly, leading 40% to 33% with 27% of Hispanic voters undecided. When matched against Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, the other major Democratic candidate, Donalds maintains a five-point lead at 39% to 34%, with 27% undecided.
Republican incumbent Ashley Moody leads in the U.S. Senate race, polling at 40% against Democrat Alex Vindman’s 33%, with 27% undecided. Against Democratic state Rep. Angie Nixon, Moody holds a similar advantage at 40% to 32%, with 28% undecided.
National Context
The Florida survey represents part of a broader national study of 5,000 Hispanic voters conducted by UnidosUS across competitive congressional districts in California, Arizona, and Texas, as well as the Northeast corridor. The results highlight how Florida Hispanic voters differ ideologically from their counterparts in other states.
The bipartisan polling approach, utilizing firms from both major parties, aimed to provide a comprehensive view of Hispanic voter sentiment as the 2026 midterm elections approach. The findings suggest that while Trump faces declining support among this voting bloc, Democrats have not yet capitalized on this shift in the state’s major races.
